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UPDATE: Networks Show Clinton with Single Digit
Win

post from Blog Obama '08 on 22 April 2008 05:16:00 PM. © Blog Obama '08

As of 9:18 p.m. EST, the networks are projecting Clinton as the winner in PA by a narrow six point margin. This will do little to close the delegate or popular vote gap. The race now moves to Indiana and North Carolina on May 6th.

Here is the Reuters take on a narrow win for Clinton in PA:

"Given her once huge lead in polls and the state's blue-collar demographics, considered ideal for her candidacy, a narrow win would increase perceptions that she cannot catch Obama. With no more big states left to vote, Clinton would have little chance left to change the dynamics of the race and build momentum for the finish. A win would likely send her on to the remaining contests that end on June 3, but pressure would continue to build on Clinton to get out of the race. Clinton aides have tried to play down expectations, and insist "a win is a win." But in Pennsylvania, a narrow win might not be enough for Clinton."

With two more big states remaining, the challenge for Clinton is going to be to stay afloat financially. More on the money picture later.

Read The Full Article:
http://blogobama08.blogspot.com/2008/04/update-networks-show-clinton-with.html

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Clinton wins - But is it enough

post from Barack Obama 2008 on 22 April 2008 02:22:00 PM. © Barack Obama 2008

Its a big surprise of course - Hillary Clinton has won in Pennsylvania. Ok, not really - its no different to what we have been expecting for the last 18 months.

Moving on - what does it mean? Tomorrow we will see the real coverage, the real questions and the reactions of the superdelegates.

At best, Clinton's win is anywhere from 4 to 10 points. That latter result would be just on the cusp of what some pundits say she needed to stay in the game.

But the real results mean that the delegate lead wont be materially affected. The popular vote lead will still substantially be with Obama. Lets not forget, just weeks ago, Clinton's lead in Pennsylvania was significant - much more than today's result. The momentum, is actually with Obama.

However, make no mistake, Hillary Clinton will continue in this race. She will take it all the way to the convention if she has to.

Remember, this is about Hillary, this is truly her one shot at the title.

But in the end, so far, Hillary is still behind - well behind. She needs now to secure a massive majority of the remaining superdelegates, and that is a big ask.

Read The Full Article:
http://2008obama.blogspot.com/2008/04/clinton-wins-but-is-it-enough.html

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Early Exits - Too Close to Call

post from Barack Obama 2008 on 22 April 2008 01:28:00 PM. © Barack Obama 2008

In good signs for Barack Obama, the early exit polls have suggested that the race in Pennsylvania is too close to call.

The first exit poll suggested that Clinton had the lead, but only by a razor thin margin of 52%-48%. Early exit polls tend to give Obama a boost, but even so, even a 55-45 split should be enough for Obama.

Only weeks ago, Clinton had a substantial lead in Pennsylvania. Obama has steadily eroded that margin.

Up to half of the 4 million registered Democrats in Pennsylvania were predicted to have cast their ballot today, with long lines stretching from many polling stations.

Read The Full Article:
http://2008obama.blogspot.com/2008/04/early-exits-too-close-to-call.html

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Seth Grahame-Smith: Ten Things to Remember on
Tuesday Night - Politics on The Huffington Post

post from Bloggers 4 Obama on 22 April 2008 12:44:48 PM. © Bloggers 4 Obama

Seth Grahame-Smith: Ten Things to Remember on Tuesday Night - Politics on The Huffington Post addthis_url = 'http%3A%2F%2Fbloggers4obama.com%2F2008%2F04%2F22%2Fseth-grahame-smith-ten-things-to-remember-on-tuesday-night-politics-on-the-huffington-post%2F'; addthis_title = 'Seth+Grahame-Smith%3A+Ten+Things+to+Remember+on+Tuesday+Night+-+Politics+on+The+Huffington+Post'; addthis_pub = '';

Read The Full Article:
http://bloggers4obama.com/2008/04/22/seth-grahame-smith-ten-things-to-remember-on
-tuesday-night-politics-on-the-huffington-post/

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Getting Super-Delegates to Dump Obama

post from Progressives for Obama on 22 April 2008 12:11:00 PM. © Progressives for Obama

Photo: Bill and Hillary in the 1960s

Why Hillary
Makes My
Wife Scream

By Tom Hayden

My wife Barbara has begun yelling at the television set every time she hears Hillary Clinton. This is abnormal behavior since Barbara is a meditative practitioner of everything peaceful and organic, and is inspired by Barack?s transformational appeal.

For Barbara, Hillary has become the screech on the blackboard. From First Lady to Lady Macbeth.

It?s getting to me as well. Last year, I was somewhat reconciled to the prospect of supporting and pressuring Hillary as the nominee amidst the rising tide of my friends who already hated her, irrationally I thought. I was one of those people Barack accuses of being willing to settle. I even had framed a flattering autographed message from Hillary. But as the campaign has gone on and on, her signed portrait still leans against the wall in my study. I don?t know where she belongs anymore.

At least Hillary was a known quantity in my life. I knew of the danger of her becoming more and more hawkish as she tried to break the ultimate glass ceiling. I also knew that she could be forced to change course if public opinion was fiercely opposed to the war. And I knew she was familiar with radical social causes from her own life experience in the Sixties. So my progressive task seemed clear: help build an anti-war force powerful enough to make it politically necessary to end the war. Been there, done that. And in the process, finally put a woman in the White House. A soothing bonus. But as the Obama campaign gained momentum, Hillary began morphing into the persona that has my pacifist wife screaming at the television set.

Going negative doesn?t begin to describe what has happened. Hillary is going over the edge. Even worse are the flacks she sends before the cameras on her behalf, like that Kiki person who smirks and shakes her head at the camera every time she fields a question. Or the real carnivores, like Howard Wolfson, Lanny Davis and James Carville whose sneering smugness prevents countless women like my wife from considering Hillary at all.

To use the current terminology, Hillary people are bitter people, even more bitter than the white working class voters Barack has talked about. Because they circle the wagons so tightly, they don?t recognize how identical, self-reinforcing and out-of-touch they are.

To take just one example, the imagined association between Barack Obama and Bill Ayers will suffice. Hillary is blind to her own roots in the Sixties. In one college speech she spoke of ecstatic transcendence; in another, she said, "our social indictment has broadened. Where once we exposed the quality of life in the world of the South and the ghettos, now we condemn the quality of work in factories and corporations. Where once we assaulted the exploitation of man, now we decry the destruction of nature as well. How much long can we let corporations run us?" She was in Chicago for three nights during the 1968 street confrontations. She chaired the 1970 Yale law school meeting where students voted to join a national student strike again an "unconscionable expansion of a war that should never have been waged." She was involved in the New Haven defense of Bobby Seale during his murder trial in 1970, as the lead scheduler of student monitors. She surely agreed with Yale president Kingman Brewster that a black revolutionary couldn?t get a fair trial in America. She wrote that abused children were citizens with the same rights as their parents. [75] Most significantly in terms of her recent attacks on Barack, after Yale law school, Hillary went to work for the left-wing Bay Area law firm of Truehaft, Walker and Burnstein, which specialized in Black Panthers and West Coast labor leaders prosecuted for being communists. Two of the firm?s partners, according to Treuhaft, were communists and the two others "tolerated communists". Then she went on to Washington to help impeach Richard Nixon, whose career was built on smearing and destroying the careers of people through vague insinuations about their backgrounds and associates. [all citations from Carl Bernstein?s sympathetic biography, A Woman in Charge, 2007, pp. 67,69,70,75, 83]

All these were honorable words and associations in my mind, but doesn?t she see how the Hillary of today would accuse the Hillary of the Sixties of associating with black revolutionaries who fought gun battles with police officers, and defending pro-communist lawyers who backed communists? Doesn?t the Rev. Jeremiah Wright whom Hillary attacks today represent the very essence of the black radicals Hillary was associating with in those days? And isn?t the Hillary of today becoming the same kind of guilt-by-association insinuator as the Richard Nixon she worked to impeach?

It is as if Hillary Clinton is engaged in a toxic transmission onto Barack Obama of every outrageous insult and accusation ever inflicted on her by the American Right over the decades. She is running against what she might have become. Too much politics dries the soul of the idealist.

It is abundantly clear that the Clintons, working with FOX News and manipulating old Clinton staffers like George Stephanopoulos, are trying, at least unconsciously, to so damage Barack Obama that he will be perceived as "unelectable" to Democratic super-delegates. It is also clear that the campaign of defamation against Obama has resulted in higher negative ratings for Hillary Clinton. She therefore is threatening the Democratic Party?s chances for the White House whether or not she is the nominee.

Since no one in the party leadership seems able or willing to intervene against this self-destructive downward spiral, perhaps progressives need to consider responding in the only way politicians sometimes understand. If they can?t hear us screaming at the television sets, we can send a message that the Clintons are acting as if they prefer John McCain to Barack Obama. And follow it up with another message: if Clinton doesn?t immediately cease her path of destruction, millions of young voters and black voters may not send checks, may not knock on doors, and may not even vote for her if she becomes the nominee. That?s not a threat, that?s the reality she is creating.

http://progressivesforobama.blogspot.com

Read The Full Article:
http://progressivesforobama.blogspot.com/2008/04/getting-super-delegates-to-dump-
obama.html

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Clinton Needs a Blowout

post from Blog Obama '08 on 22 April 2008 10:17:00 AM. © Blog Obama '08

Basically, Clinton needs a blowout of historic proportions to catch Obama. Read more here.

Read The Full Article:
http://blogobama08.blogspot.com/2008/04/clinton-needs-blowout.html

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PA Primary results Live Blog Tuesday night!!!

post from Bloggers 4 Obama on 22 April 2008 08:22:37 AM. © Bloggers 4 Obama

Tonight we will be live blogging the Pennsylvania Primary results. Polls close in PA at 8:00 p.m. Eastern, so we’ll go live at 7:00 p.m. Central. Look forward to chatting with you all then.Click here to get the code to host on your blog. It runs outside of the middle column, but [...]

Read The Full Article:
http://bloggers4obama.com/2008/04/22/pa-primary-results-live-blog-tuesday-night/

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Is Hillary Ready to Pounce on PA

Hillary needs a big win today if she hopes to remain in the race. Her campaign is boasting of big leads in suburban and rural areas. The Obama camp is downplaying their chances. Who will come out on top?

Read The Full Article:
http://blogobama08.blogspot.com/2008/04/is-hillary-ready-to-pounce-on-pa.html

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When will Hillary Get Out of the Kitchen

Hillary is up to bat in Pennsylvania - but will she strike out today, and if not, when will she say that it's time for her stop her campaign?

As Clinton has said in her latest 3am ad, if you cant stand the heat, get out of the kitchen. But its clear that Hillary can stand the heat. She is damn tough.

But can she stand to damage the chances of the Democrats to win the White House come November, and go down in history as the ultimate spoiler? That's the heat she needs to worry about.

Obama is in front in the pledged delegates, the popular vote and is closing in on Clinton's superdelegate lead.

And crucially, Obama in most polls leads Clinton in the match up with John McCain.

So will she pull the pin after today? Its doubtful.

If we factor in that Clinton is likely to win the Pennsylvania primary today, then we can expect that the spin from her campaign is that she is "back on track." No doubt, it will be the same line as when she secured a surprise win in New Hampshire.

Clinton will also again run the spin that only she is able to carry the swing states, and that only she is the candidate who has the best chance of beating McCain come Novemeber.

But spin can only take her campaign so far. If she cant secure enough delegate support, then what option does she have? She obviously cant win, so why continue?

We can only assume that the Clinton team are hoping that many of the undeclared superdelegates will fall her way. Or, in a more sinister possibility, Hillary may be waiting to see if Obama will stumble. And if we know anything about the Clinton team, they may be working to contribute to that outcome.

While today is important, keep a close eye on the media reporting, in addition to the reaction of senior Democrats tomorrow.

As for Clinton, she is still playing "wait and see". But there is only so long before that strategy would become terribly damaging to the Clinton reputation. The problem is, does she care?

Read The Full Article:
http://2008obama.blogspot.com/2008/04/when-will-hillary-get-out-of-kitchen.html